From the Daily News:
The biggest misconception about this year's citywide elections is that Mayor Bloomberg has a third term all sewn up.
Don't believe the hype.
Bloomberg has already spent $18.6 million on flacks, hacks, pollsters and preachers. The sum includes more than $15 million spent in the last two months alone on TV, radio and direct mail advertising.
But don't start the coronation just yet. Several key indicators suggest that the race remains close and could get much closer before November.
Start with the surprising fact that Bloomberg's three-month advertising onslaught hasn't moved key poll numbers.
That has set off a buzz among political insiders. A $15 million ad buy is supposed to move the poll numbers, particularly for an eight-year incumbent.
Everybody heard Bloomberg's campaign message - you couldn't avoid those TV ads and glossy color booklets - but the polls suggest New Yorkers aren't buying it.
It's not over. In fact, the race for City Hall has only just begun.